1,796 players remain of the original 6,420 - I made the top 30% of the field and am streaking towards the top 25%. The top 1,000 get paid, so after outlasting 4,624 people, I just have 796 more to go. We should hit the money today in round 3 or 4, so right around the dinner break.
My table breaks down like this...
Seat 1: Kanzuki Ikeuchi (Japan), $84,400 - a bunch of career cashes
Seat 2: John Creed (Maryland), $160,800 - a bunch of career cashes
Seat 3: Davidi Kitai (Belgium), $220,400 - As of January 7th, 2015, he was ranked #2 on the Global Poker Index. You know what? Wikipedia probably says it best:
Davidi Kitai (born 1979) is a famous Belgian professional poker player who won the 2008 World Series of Poker $2,000 Pot-Limit Hold'em event, becoming the first Belgian to win a WSOP bracelet. He also has won 2 other bracelets and has an EPT title and a WPT title under his belt, along with numerous other big scores and titles
Seat 4: Bruno Kawauti (Brazil), $24,600 - 11th on Brazil's all time money list, 12 career cashes, over a half million in lifetime earnings. But hey, at least it's someone with less chips than me!
Seat 5: Aaron Mermelstein (Philly), $180,000 - Hey, he's only 561st on the Global Poker Index, sweet! Of course, he has almost a million dollars in career winnings and is currently ranked 70th in 2015 Player of the Year rankings.
Seat 6: Goran Mandic Zagreb (Croatia), $89,900 - 3rd on the Croatian all time money list.
Seat 7: Eric Cloutier (Quebec), $56,900 - Over a half million in lifetime earning, 14th on the Louisiana all time money list, and he's a former professional hockey player. And in 2009, was charged in a number of felonies for money laundering and felony theft.
Seat 8: Me! $39,800.
Seat 9: Timo Pfutzenreuter (Germany) $156,500 - 55th on the German all time money list, almost a million dollars in career winnings.
... So, I am by far the least experienced at the table and have significantly less chips than everyone but seat 4.
My M Ratio is a 9, so I've got maybe an hour to find a hand or shove on 10 6 and pray.
Quick refresher on M Ratio - the number of times around the table before the blinds and antes take all my chips. Over 10, I'm doing ok. Between 5 and 10 and I'm in the danger zone. Between 4 and 5 shove on anything... the reason for shoving instead of waiting for a good hand is that shoving on something bad, like two unders, means I'm probably 40% to win.Shoving on two overs means I'm probably 60% to win... but if I wait until an M Ratio of 2 or 3 for a "good hand", then a double up only gets me to 4 - 6 and I need to double up again - easier to hit a 40% chance at 4 - 5 than two 60% chances. Moreover, whoever is calling my shove probably has a pocket pair or strong ace, so if my "good" hand ends up being A10, then there's a good chance I'm outkicked and am only 30% to win anyway.
Ultimately, my chips compared to the blinds and antes puts me in the danger zone, so something is happening in the first hour or so - whether that's a shove or winning a couple pots, we'll see.
Nuts, I'm running late for WSOP day three...
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